Tag: Growth

  • The President of the World Bank says that rapid global growth is primarily driven by the United States, China and India

    The President of the World Bank says that rapid global growth is primarily driven by the United States, China and India

    He said that concerns about inequality in terms of vaccination and average income are not growing too fast for some countries.

    Now a fast global development driven primarily by the US, China and India, World Bank President David Malpas even said he expressed concern over the growing inequality caused by the COVID-19 epidemic.

    He said that concerns about inequality in terms of vaccination and average income are not growing too fast for some countries.

    “But there is also a concern that there is inequality. Inequality in terms of vaccination, in terms of average income which is not rising very fast for some countries and may go down. He said that there is a difference in the interest rate Poor countries have to face very high interest rates and they have not come down in the way of global interest rates.

    At the beginning of the Spring Meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World, Mr. Malpas told reporters, “The good news is that rapid global growth is being fueled mainly by the United States, China and India.” Bank

    The annual spring meeting, which is being held virtually, focuses on vaccines, climate change, debt and recovery.

    Mr. Malpas said that there is an inequality in terms of the bankruptcy process, which is not available to sovereign countries, so poor countries do not have a way out of these huge debt burdens.

    “There is also a disparity in access to credit with a lot of incentives going to the upper end, and people who do not have ancient credit ratings, for example, or want to start small businesses, new entrants, women in business. “It is very difficult to get credit,” he said.

    According to Mr. Malpas, the World Bank and IMF are working together to deal with uncertain credit conditions for the successful implementation of the Common Framework of GST.

    He said that there was a call to provide comparable treatment in respect of loans to the private sector.

    Responding to a question, Mr. Malpas said that the vaccine rollout is a subject of lethargy, especially in Europe.

    “It’s disappointing. We see daily in the news that some of the countries face various challenges. I increasingly believe or desire and expect a faster rollout as more countries become more available. And, we can look to regulatory agencies to work smoothly towards their approval so that more vaccines are approved.

    He said that vaccinating people is an important part of their safety and global improvement.

    “So, I share the sentiment that Germany has stated today in the G20 that their GDP growth (GDP) estimates related to the vaccine problem may be softer, and that is a measure of everyone’s urgency and worldwide In India redefines efforts to have more vaccines available, “said Mr. Malpas.

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  • Today’s top business news: Shares plunge as record COVID-19 surge stokes growth fears, factory activity slows to 7-month low on renewed lockdowns, Govt amends insolvency law, and more

    Today’s top business news: Shares plunge as record COVID-19 surge stokes growth fears, factory activity slows to 7-month low on renewed lockdowns, Govt amends insolvency law, and more

    The benchmark stock indices opened the day on a  negative note as rising coronavirus cases increased fears of a fresh lockdown.

    Join us as we follow the top business news through the day.

    4:30 PM

    Japan’s central bank kicks off experiments on issuing digital currency

    The Bank of Japan (BOJ) began experiments on Monday to study the feasibility of issuing its own digital currency, joining efforts by other central banks that are aiming to match the innovation in the field achieved by the private sector.

    The first phase of experiments, to be carried out until March 2022, will focus on testing the technical feasibility of issuing, distributing and redeeming a central bank digital currency (CBDC), the BOJ said in a statement.

    The BOJ will thereafter move to the second phase of experiments that will scrutinise more detailed functions, such as whether to set limits on the amount of CBDC each entity can hold.

    If necessary, the central bank will launch a pilot programme that involves payment service providers and end users, BOJ Executive Director Shinichi Uchida said last month.

    4:00 PM

    Sensex tumbles 871 points; Nifty tanks below 14,650

    A forgettable day for stock bulls.

    PTI reports: “Equity benchmark Sensex tanked 871 points on Monday, dragged by a selloff in financial stocks as spiking COVID-19 cases spooked investors and fanned concerns over economic recovery.

    After plunging over 1,400 points earlier in the day, the 30-share BSE index pared some losses to finish at 49,159.32, down 870.51 points or 1.74 per cent. Similarly, the broader NSE Nifty sank 229.55 points or 1.54 per cent to 14,637.80.

    Bajaj Finance was the top laggard in the Sensex pack, plunging around 6 per cent, followed by IndusInd Bank, SBI, M&M, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto and ICICI Bank.

    On the other hand, HCL Tech, TCS and Infosys were among the gainers.

    “The market witnessed a huge sell-off today as India’s second wave of COVID-19 is getting bigger than anticipated and is expected to ruin the pace of economic recovery. High valuation added further concern due to a possible downgrade in Q1FY22 earnings,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services.

    A policy decision in the upcoming MPC announcement and Q4 earnings will define the market volatility in the coming days, he added.

    The rise in COVID-19 cases in India is a sobering reminder that challenges to recovery still remain, said Lalitabh Srivastava, AVP research, Sharekhan by BNP Paribas.

    The provisional numbers of key banks indicate a consolidating trend in terms of advances growth but encouraging performance on deposit and CASA front, he added.

    Elsewhere in Asia, bourses in Seoul and Tokyo ended on a positive note. Markets in Shanghai, Hong Kong and Australia were closed for holidays.

    Stock exchanges in Europe were also closed.

    Meanwhile, the global oil benchmark Brent crude was trading 2.20 per cent lower at USD 63.43 per barrel.”

    3:30 PM

    Personal details of 533 million Facebook users leaked online

    More privacy concerns hit the tech giant.

    PTI reports: “Personal details of about 533 million Facebook users globally, including 6.1 million from India, were allegedly leaked online and posted for free on hacking forums, according to a cybersecurity executive.

    The leaked details allegedly include names, phone numbers and other details of users of Facebook, a social media giant that had 2.80 billion monthly active users (MUAs) as of December 31, 2020.

    “All 533,000,000 Facebook records were just leaked for free. This means that if you have a Facebook account, it is extremely likely the phone number used for the account was leaked,” Alon Gal, co-founder and chief technical officer of cybersecurity firm Hudson Rock, has said in a tweet flagging the issue.

    A list of countries that was shared in the tweet, showed that information of 6.1 million users from India, 32.3 million from the US, 11.5 million from the UK and 7.3 million from Australia, was part of the leaked data.

    When contacted, a Facebook company spokesperson said: “This is old data that was previously reported on in 2019. We found and fixed this issue in August 2019”.

    Gal said in early 2020, a vulnerability – which enabled seeing the phone number linked to every Facebook account – was exploited, creating a database containing the information of 533 million users across all countries.

    He added that details include phone number, Facebook ID and full name and “bad actors will certainly use the information for social engineering, scamming, hacking and marketing”.

    In the past too, Facebook has faced challenges around data security. In March 2018, Facebook data of over 5.62 lakh Indians was allegedly compromised as UK-based Cambridge Analytica had accessed information of about 87 million users globally.

    India is among the biggest markets for Facebook and its group companies, WhatsApp and Instagram. According to government data, India has 53 crore WhatsApp users, 41 crore Facebook users, and 21 crore users of Instagram.”

    2:30 PM

    Sebi’s framework to curb stock market spoofing kicks off

    SEBI’s new market regulations kick in.

    PTI reports: “The new framework to curb instances of stock market spoofing kicked off on Monday, whereby serial offenders could face trading disablement of 15 minutes to two hours.

    In spoofing, traders place a large number of buy or sell orders, with an intent to cancel before those orders can be executed.

    Market experts say that excessive cancellations of large orders lead to manipulative increases or decrease in prices, which impacts retail investors.

    “Sebi and exchanges in a joint meeting have decided that, in order to further strengthen the order level surveillance mechanism, there shall be an additional order based surveillance measure to deter persistent noise creators i.e. excessive order modifications/ cancellations with an intent to avoid execution,” BSE and NSE had said in circulars last month.

    The new measure will be applicable on the daily trading activity at the client as well as the broker levels.

    The exchanges have noted three activities — high order to trade ratio, high instances of order modifications and persistent deferred or lower order execution priority due to frequent modifications– that will be monitored to curb such practices.

    If the surveillance system detects instances based on these three activities, it will be considered ‘one instant count’.

    Based on count of instances over a period of 20 trading days, exchanges will determine penal actions.

    If the number of instances crosses 99 on a rolling 20 trading days basis, the trading account will be disabled for the first 15 minutes of the next trading day. Any additional instance will lead to a longer disablement of a trading account subject to a maximum of 2 hours.

    The surveillance measure will be effective from April 5 and the first action on such persistent noise creators will be on May 5 based on 20 trading days window.

    Also, trading behaviour of entities creating undesirable noise in the market will be monitored.

    Even if these parameters are not fully met, if any entity is found to be repeatedly modifying and cancelling orders which do not result in execution and creates undesirable noise in the  system will also liable for action, the circulars noted.”

    2:00 PM

    Are you retirement-ready?

    Are you nearing retirement or aiming for an early retirement? If so, are you retirement-ready? In this article, we discuss why it is important for you to address your emotional readiness in addition to your financial readiness for a comfortable retirement.

    Retirement planning typically refers to determining the amount you require at retirement to lead a comfortable living post-retirement. This requires you to assume a life expectancy — number of years an individual is likely to live. In addition, you have to estimate your monthly expenses to maintain your desired standard of living and the rate of inflation through your working life and into retirement.

     

    1:30 PM

    Govt amends insolvency law; introduces pre-packaged resolution process for MSMEs

    Centre tries to build on its reform momentum.

    PTI reports: “The government has amended the insolvency law to provide for a pre-packaged resolution process for micro, small and medium enterprises.

    An ordinance was promulgated to amend the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) on April 4, according to a notification.

    The latest move comes less than two weeks after the suspension of certain IBC provisions ended. The suspension — wherein fresh insolvency proceedings were not allowed for a year starting from March 25, 2020 — was implemented amid the coronavirus pandemic disrupting economic activities.

    As per the ordinance, it is considered necessary to urgently address the specific requirements of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) relating to the resolution of their insolvency, due to the unique nature of their businesses and simpler corporate structures.

    According to the ordinance, it is considered expedient to provide an efficient alternative insolvency resolution process MSMEs to ensure a quicker, cost-effective and value maximising outcomes for all stakeholders, in a manner which is least disruptive to the continuity of their businesses and which preserves jobs.

    “… in order to achieve these objectives, it is considered expedient to introduce a pre-packaged insolvency resolution process for corporate persons classified as micro, small and medium enterprises,” it added.

    Soumitra Majumdar, Partner at J Sagar Associates, said the IBC Amendment Ordinance 2021, makes available the pre-packaged route to genuine and viable cases, to ensure least business disruption.

    “While modelled on debtor-in-possession approach, it vests significant consent rights to the financial creditors, such that the mechanism cannot be mis-used by errant promoters.

    “Further, adopting the plan evaluation process akin to Swiss Challenge, it retains competitive tension such that promoters propose plans with least impairment to rights and claims of creditors,” Majumdar noted.

    IBC provides for a market-linked and time-bound resolution of stressed assets.”

    1:00 PM

    SBI hikes home loan rate to 6.95%

    Country’s largest lender State Bank of India (SBI) has revised its home loan rate to 6.95% effective April 1.

    With the revision, the lowest rate of 6.70% regime for limited period ended in March 31.

    During the limited period, the bank offered home loan starting from 6.70% for loans up to ₹75 lakh and 6.75% for loans in the range of ₹75 lakh-₹5 crore.

    As per information posted on its website, the new rate effective April 1 is 6.95%.

    Compared to teaser rate for the limited period, the new rate is 25 basis points higher at 6.95%.

    The hike in minimum home loan rate by SBI is likely to prompt other lenders to follow suit.

     

    12:30 PM

    Investors’ wealth tumbles over Rs 4.54 lakh crore as markets crash

    Today’s erosion to investor wealth.

    PTI reports: “Investors’ wealth tumbled over Rs 4.54 lakh crore in morning trade on Monday as markets crashed amid a sharp spike in coronavirus cases in the country.

    The 30-share BSE benchmark index plummeted 1,449.03 points to 48,580.80 in morning trade.

    Following this, the market capitalisation of BSE-listed companies dived Rs 4,54,987.72 crore to Rs 2,02,71,414.07 crore.

    From the 30-share pack, 27 companies were trading lower led by banking companies — IndusInd Bank, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, State Bank of India, Axis Bank and HDFC.

    “The fundamental factors influencing markets are changing fast. There are both positives and negatives. … the fast-rising COVID cases is a cause of concern. Restriction of economic activity in many areas might impact growth recovery. But, as of now, there are no signs of a slowdown in the economy,” V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.

    Coronavirus cases in India hit a record daily high since the the outbreak of the pandemic with 1,03,558 new infections pushing the nationwide COVID-19 tally to 1,25,89,067, according to the Union Health Ministry data updated on Monday.

    The BSE midcap index and small cap index were trading over 2 per cent lower.

    Equity markets were closed on April 2, for ‘Good Friday’.”

    12:00 PM

    Sensex plummets over 1,400 points in morning trade; financial stocks tank

    A mid-day review of markets.

    PTI reports: “Equity benchmark Sensex tumbled over 1,400 points in the morning session on Monday, dragged by massive losses in financial stocks amid concerns over spiking COVID-19 cases in the country.

    After touching a low of 48,580.80, the 30-share BSE index was trading 1,254.49 points or 2.51 per cent lower at 48,775.34, and the broader NSE Nifty sank 349.40 points or 2.35 per cent to 14,517.95.

    IndusInd Bank was the top laggard in the Sensex pack, tanking over 6 per cent, followed by Bajaj Finance, Axis Bank, SBI, Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Finserv, ICICI Bank, HDFC twins and Reliance Industries.

    On the other hand, Infosys, HCL Tech, TCS and Infosys were the gainers.

    Markets opened gap down following strict guidelines issued in Maharashtra amidst rising coronavirus cases with financial and rate-sensitive stocks taking indices down close to 2.5 per cent, said S Ranganathan, Head of Research at LKP Securities.

    According to Binod Modi, Head – Strategy at Reliance Securities, banks, which started seeing steady improvement in asset quality and improvement in credit costs, may see further delay in credit cycle recovery and pressure in asset quality if business restrictions are imposed by more number of states due to steep rise in COVID-19 cases.

    Elsewhere in Asia, bourses in Seoul and Tokyo were trading on a positive note in mid-session deals. Markets in Shanghai, Hong Kong and Australia were closed for holidays.

    Meanwhile, the global oil benchmark Brent crude was trading 1.46 per cent lower at USD 63.91 per barrel.

    On the currency front, the India rupee was trading 29 paise lower against the US dollar at 73.41.”

    11:30 AM

    Rupee slumps 31 paise to 73.43 against U.S. dollar in early trade amid concerns over rising COVID-19 cases

    The Indian rupee slumped 31 paise to 73.43 against the U.S. dollar in opening trade on April 5 amid concerns over rising COVID-19 cases.

    Besides, losses in domestic equity markets also weighed on investors’ sentiment.

    At the interbank forex market, the domestic unit opened at 73.38 against the U.S. dollar, then fell further to 73.43, registering a decline of 31 paise over its previous close.

    On April 1, the rupee had settled at 73.12 against the American currency. The forex market was closed on April 2, on account of Good Friday.

    The Indian rupee started weak on April 5 and may weaken further against the dollar on concerns over India’s economic outlook following a further increase in coronavirus infections, Reliance Securities said in a research note.

     

    11:00 AM

    A family that plans together stays together

    “As a family, we decide jointly our financial goals and how to achieve them,” says Radhika Desai, a homemaker from Thane. “Ever since it has been made a family activity, everyone is enjoying. They feel committed and want to participate. There is much more enjoyment in the entire exercise,” Ms. Desai adds.

    Done jointly, there is a feeling of commitment and also empowerment. Everyone has a say in it. Take the views of children. Let them feel involved. This is a life skill.

    During one of my quarterly reviews, with the permission of my clients Jahanvi and Rohit, I allowed my young daughter to join us.

     

    10:30 AM

    India’s factory activity slows to 7-mth low on renewed COVID-19 lockdowns

    Lockdown fears drag back factories.

    Reuters reports: “India’s factory activity grew at its weakest pace in seven months in March as renewed lockdowns to curtail a resurgence in COVID-19 cases dampened domestic demand and output, a private survey showed, forcing firms to cut headcount again.

    Last week, the Indian government advised federal states to try and control the rapid spread of the virus. Tighter restrictions on activity suggest factories could be in for a tough April.

    The Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index , compiled by IHS Markit, declined to a seven-month low of 55.4 last month from February’s 57.5, but remained above the 50-level separating growth from contraction for an eighth straight month.

    Despite foreign orders growing at a faster pace in March, a sub-index tracking overall demand declined to its lowest since August 2020. Output also grew at its weakest pace in seven months.

    “Survey participants indicated that demand growth was constrained by the escalation of the COVID-19 pandemic, while the rise in input buying was curtailed by an intensification of cost pressures,” said Pollyanna De Lima, economics associate director at IHS Markit.

    “With COVID-19 restrictions expanded and lockdown measures re-introduced in many states, Indian manufacturers look set to experience a challenging month in April.”

    Although Asia’s third-largest economy was predicted to grow at a faster pace this fiscal year than previously thought, according to a Reuters poll published last week, a significant majority of economists said a surge in coronavirus cases was the biggest risk to the outlook.

    After a year-long spree of job cuts, factories intensified the rate of layoffs to its strongest in six months in March.

    Both input and output prices increased at a slower pace last month, signalling overall inflation that accelerated to a three-month high in February might ease and stay within the Reserve Bank of India’s inflation target of 2-6%.

    That would help the central bank maintain its accommodative policy stance to support economic growth but optimism about the year ahead waned.

    “While predictions that the vaccination programme will curb the disease and underpin output growth in the year ahead meant that business confidence remained positive, growing uncertainty over the near-term outlook due to a rise in COVID-19 cases dragged sentiment to a seven-month low,” De Lima said.”

    10:00 AM

    Indian shares slide as record COVID-19 surge sparks new curbs

     

    Reuters reports: “Indian shares slid on Monday as daily coronavirus infections surpassed 100,000 for the first time, and some states imposed fresh restrictions on outdoor movement, sparking concerns about the pace of the country’s economic recovery.

    The NSE Nifty 50 index was down 0.66% at 14,770.40 by 0400 GMT, while the S&P BSE Sensex was 0.77% lower at 49,642.46.

    India’s coronavirus caseload jumped by a record to surpass 12.5 million on Monday, while the death toll crossed 165,000. Maharashtra — home to India’s financial capital of Mumbai — imposed stringent curbs including a complete lockdown on weekends.

    Private-sector lenders HDFC Bank, HDFC, and ICICI Bank were the biggest drags on the Nifty 50, falling between 1.3% and 2%.

    Meanwhile, a media report said state-run lenders may have to bear a burden of up to 20 billion rupees ($273 million) due to a recent court ruling on the waiver of interest on all loan accounts which opted for a moratorium last year.”

    9:30 AM

    SC order on interest waiver: PSU Banks may have to take ₹2,000 crore hit

    Public sector banks may have to bear a burden of ₹1,800-2,000 crore arising due to a recent Supreme Court judgement on the waiver of compound interest on all loan accounts which opted for moratorium during March-August 2020, sources said.

    The judgement covers loans above ₹2 crore as loans below this got blanket interest on interest waiver in November last year. Compound interest support scheme for loan moratorium cost the government ₹5,500 crore during 2020-21 and the scheme covered all borrowers including the prompt one who did not avail moratorium.

    According to banking sources, initially 60% of borrowers availed moratorium and gradually the percentage came down to 40% and even less as collection improved with ease in lockdown. In case of corporate, this was as low as 25% as far as public sector banks were concerned.

     

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  • HDFC Bank’s progress, deposit growth

    HDFC Bank’s progress, deposit growth

    The bank said HDFC Bank’s advances increased by around 14% ances 11.32 lakh crore by the end of March, while deposits were up 16% over ₹ 13.35 lakh crore, the lender said on Monday.

    “The bank’s advance collected approximately ₹ 11.32 lakh crore as on March 31, 2021, an increase of 13.9% over ₹ 9.93 lakh crore by March 31, 2020, and an increase of 4.6% over 10.82 lakh crore. December 31 , On 2020, “HDFC Bank said in a filing. At the end of March 2021, domestic retail loans grew by about 7.5% and domestic wholesale loans grew by around 21% year-on-year, the private sector said. On the front, this year saw an increase of about 16.3% at ₹ 13.35 lakh crore.

    The lender said that the deposits of CASA (current account and savings account) increased by about 27% to about Rs 6.15 lakh crore, which was a year ago.

    The CASA ratio of the bank as on 31 March 2021 was around 46%, as compared to 42.2% as on 31 March 2020.

    During the quarter ended 31 March 2021, the bank collected Rs 7,503 crore through a direct assignment route under a home loan arrangement with Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited.

    These figures have been released for fair disclosure of unpublished price sensitive information in accordance with SEBI (Listing Obligation and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015 and Code of Practices and Procedures.

    HDFC Bank shares were trading down 2.32% at ₹ 1,451.95 on the BSE.

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  • HDFC Bank’s progress, deposit growth

    FDI inflows record $ 72.12 billion in 10 months

    Fresh foreign equity investment fell from $ 7.62 billion in December 2020 to $ 2.71 billion in January 2021

    Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into India, including reinvested income, which hit a record $ 72.12 billion between April 2020 and January 2021, although fresh foreign equity investment in January 2021 to $ 2.71 from $ 7.62 billion in December 2020. Billion fell to.

    Japan accounted for 29% of total FDI equity inflows in January, followed by Singapore and the US, with consultancy services receiving the largest investment (21.8%) in the month, followed by the computer software and hardware (around 16%) and the services sector ( 13.6%).

    The Ministry of Commerce and Industry said the trends show that FDI equity inflows increased by 28% to US $ 54.18 billion in the first 10 months of FY 2020-21, when it stood at US $ 42.34 billion. In a statement on Monday for global investors, citing the trends as ‘favored its position as the preferred position’. The overall FDI inflow was 15% higher on a year-on-year basis.

    About 62% of total equity investment in 2020–21 originated from Singapore, the US, and the UAE, with the computer software and hardware industry receiving approximately 46% of fresh investment. Construction (infrastructure) activities account for 13.37% of the equity FDI inflows, followed by 7.8% foreign equity investment in the services sector.

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  • HDFC Bank’s progress, deposit growth

    IMF raises China’s GDP by 8.4%, but Geeta Gopinath says growth is imbalanced

    The International Monetary Fund has raised China’s GDP projection to 8.4% for this year, a 10-year high, but its chief economist Geeta Gopinath cautioned that economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy was imbalanced and private consumption was as high. Has not risen as fast as was expected. After the coronavirus crisis.

    The IMF urged China to address its high corporate debt levels, resulting in the implementation of easy monetary policy during the coronovirus epidemic.

    In its latest issue of the World Economic Outlook released in Washington, the IMF placed China’s 2021 growth at 8.4%, up 0.3 percentage points from its January forecast.

    Official media reported on Wednesday that its projection for China’s economic expansion for 2022 is unchanged at 5.6%.

    The IMF forecast for China, although much higher than other major economies, including the US, Germany and France, is less than 12.5% ​​growth rate for India in 2021. The 8.4% projection is above the 6% target set by the Chinese government. year.

    China’s economy, which came first in the grip of the coronavirus epidemic and recovered from its effects, grew 2.3% in 2020, recording the lowest annual growth rate in 45 years.

    According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS), the gross domestic product (GDP) of the world’s second-largest economy grew 2.3% in 2020 to $ 15.42 trillion.

    In local currency, GDP increased from the 100-trillion-yuan limit to 101.5986 trillion yuan.

    “With strong global growth, you have more exports. The US rescue plan will also increase demand for Chinese goods, ”said Geeta Gopinath, IMF chief economist and director of research.

    However, the growth of China saw something unbalanced.

    “It is still very much dependent on public investment. And private consumption has not recovered as fast as we expected, ”Ms. Gopinath said South China Morning Post.

    “To make it a sustainable recovery, we hope that fiscal measures and other support measures will work towards supporting the recovery from the private sector,” he said.

    Sino-US tensions that have increased on many fronts, from international trade to intellectual property and cyber security, are also mentioned in the report.

    “Domestic economic inequalities arising from the epidemic can also lead to new trade barriers… In the midst of already high levels of trade restrictions, such action adds inefficiencies and weighs on recovery. In addition, the risks of the protectionist trend surrounding the technology are emerging, ”the IMF report said.

    The IMF has also advised China to pursue its high corporate debt levels, which have resulted from easy monetary policy put in place during the coronovirus epidemic.

    “China, of course, has re-emerged from the crisis more rapidly than any other country. IMF financial consultant Tobias Adrian released the report, saying, “These measures were very quick and very effective.”

    “But the measures that were implemented are due to [a] Leverage and further increase in weaknesses, ”he was quoted as saying Post.

    China’s financial authorities, IMF financiers said, should move away from providing easy access to capital to rein in corporate debt risks.

    According to the IMF report on global financial stability released on Tuesday, weaknesses in China were particularly “driven by at-risk corporate borrowers”.

    China made it easier for businesses to borrow during the epidemic to protect them and the economy. Large and small companies took loans at a fast pace and loans went to many struggling firms.

    The nation’s debt-to-GDP ratio peaked at 266.4% at the end of the third quarter in 2020, according to the Chinese Council of Social Sciences (CASS), a think tank associated with the State Council. It expects the ratio to hit 275% for the whole of 2020.

    This has exacerbated the debt problem that existed before the epidemic. Post said.

    Pre-Kovid, many Chinese firms received favorable prices on their bonds and loans due to implicit guarantees, as governments at various levels provided local borrowers with backstops to attract investors.

    The report noted that companies that had two-year operating losses prior to the epidemic had a credit spread of more than two-thirds of the debt issued by them, which was relatively low-risk.

    The report noted that the difference in yields between government and corporate debt was distorted not by the voice of the business but by implicit government guarantees.

    A number of unexpected defaults from state-owned enterprises in the fourth quarter of 2020 have raised investor concerns about guarantees set for vulnerable borrowers. The report states that it may move faster in future default risks.

    China’s Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) warned in July last year that potential financial risks remain high, urging advance caution for a possible spike in non-performing loans (NPLs).

    In a release, the commission listed a number of obvious risks and challenges, including rising NPLs, asset quality deterioration in small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the resurgence of shadow banking.

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  • 12.5% ​​expected growth for India but “very serious downside risk” due to COVID wave: IMF

    12.5% ​​expected growth for India but “very serious downside risk” due to COVID wave: IMF

    The report says that different results will solve the health crisis everywhere.

    According to the World Economic Outlook (WEO), India is projected to grow by 12.5% ​​during the current year ending March 31, after a projected contraction of 8% in the fiscal year, to 6.9% growth year (FY22 / 23) has arrived. ): The management of divergent records issued by the IMF as World Bank IMF Spring Meeting virtually ceased. IMF economists said that the growth outlook for India comes with significant downside risks as an epidemic wave is going on in the country.

    IMF Chief Economist Geeta Gopinath said at a press conference on Tuesday, the projections for India were based on evidence to support the normalization of economic activity, but these forecasts carried forward the current wave of COVID-19 in India.

    Current development projections already take “a fairly conservative view”, IMF economist Malhar Nabar said.

    “But it is true that it is very worrying in cases … gives a very serious downside risk to the growth outlook for the economy,” he said.

    After an estimated contraction of 3.3% in 2020 (calendar year), the global economy is expected to grow 6% this year and 4.4% next year, although there are significant differences within and between countries. Estimates for 2021 are slightly higher due to fiscal support and vaccine-backed recovery in some large economies in October 2020. The US’s 1.3 percentage point forecast upgrade specifically contributed to this, resulting in US growth estimates of 6.4% and 3.5% this calendar year and beyond.

    US GDP levels are projected to be higher than the non-epidemic scenario in 2022 – the only large economy for which this is true. Other economies also expect it to rebound at a slower rate according to the IMF this year. The euro area is projected to grow 4.4% and 3.8% over these time periods; China, at 8.4% and 5.6%.

    Global growth is projected to settle at 3.3% in the medium term due to supply-side losses, as well as factors that are likely to result in an epidemic such as aging (which is a result of advanced economics and slower labor force growth in some emerging markets ).

    “Gopinath said,” Even in countries under recession, economies undergoing recession have slowed, such as slower vaccine rollouts, more limited policy support, and less dependence on tourism.

    The report said that different results will solve the health crisis everywhere. The average annual loss in per capita GDP in the period 2020–24 relative to pre-epidemic forecasts is expected to be 5.7% in low-income countries and 4.7% in emerging markets; for advanced economies, the number is lower: 2.3 %.

    The epidemic pushed another 95 million into extreme poverty in 2020

    Ms. Gopinath said, “Such losses are due to poverty reduction, with an additional 95 million people expected to enter the ranks of the poorer in 2020, compared to pre-epidemic estimates.”

    Pointing to uneven recovery within countries, Ms. Gopinath wrote, unskilled, youth and women were more affected.

    “Women have also suffered more, especially in emerging markets and developing economies. Because the crisis has intensified the transformational forces of digitalization and automation, many of the lost work is unlikely to return, requiring labor recovery in sectors – which often comes with severe penalties, “Ms. Gopinath Written with the report in a blogpost.

    The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to ‘leave small marks’ from the 2008 financial crisis due to unprecedented economic backlash. However, emerging markets and low-income countries are expected to suffer a more moderate level of loss than their high-income counterparts according to the IMF.

    Given the large uncertainty surrounding the outlook, the report recommended that policy governors “prioritize policies that would be prudent, regardless of the state of the world that prevailed – for example, of widespread eligibility for unemployment insurance.” As well as strengthening social security, covering self-employment and working informally. ”It also advocated adequate resources for investment in health care, education, vocational training, early childhood development programs and green infrastructure.

    Reports for international cooperation, particularly to ensure adequate vaccine access globally, adequately funding COVAX, including an international vaccine facility.

    “The international community also needs to work together to ensure that economically constrained economies have adequate access to international liquidity so that they can afford the healthcare, other social, and infrastructure spending necessary for development and per capita income. To be necessary for access to higher levels of, ”the IMF report states.

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  • RBI keeps policy rates unchanged, GDP growth rate of 10.5%

    RBI keeps policy rates unchanged, GDP growth rate of 10.5%

    The RBI governor says that the recent increase in COVID-19 infections has created uncertainty in the economic growth rate.

    The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) voted unanimously to leave the policy repo rate unchanged at 4%, Governor Shaktikanta Das announced on Wednesday.

    “It has also unanimously decided to continue with the adjustment stance as necessary to sustain growth on a sustainable basis and to minimize the impact of COVID-19 on the economy, while ensuring that Inflation further remains within the target, ”he said.

    Thus, the Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) rate and the bank rate remain unchanged at 4.25% and the reverse repo rate at 3.35%.

    Also read: What has the RBI warned in its latest financial stability report?

    The governor said that in the domestic economy, the focus should now be on the spread of the virus as well as economic revival – strengthening the gains achieved so far and maintaining the impulses of growth in the new financial year (2021-22).

    “A key aspect of this strategy will be to strengthen the basis of macroeconomic stability which has led to the revival of India from the epidemic. This will help the stakeholders to take efficient decisions to spend more time, which will improve the investment climate, ”he said.

    “Public investment in key infrastructure sectors is a multiplier with historically proven ability to revive the macroeconomy by increasing capital stock and productivity and attracting private investment,” he said.

    Optimism despite virus growth

    Mr. Das said that the Reserve Bank is optimistic about the demand and expansion of business activities in the financial year 2021-22.

    The governor said the juxtaposition of high-frequency leads and coincidence indicators suggests that economic activity is returning to normal despite an increase in transitions. “Rural demand remains a declining agricultural production and record in 2020-21, which is good for its resilience. Urban demand has gained traction and should be filled with the currently ongoing vaccination campaign, ”he said in the Governor’s statement.

    He said that the recent increase in transition to COVID-19 increases uncertainty in the outlook for domestic development due to the tightening of restrictions by some state governments.

    “In India, we are now better prepared to face the challenges posed by this revival in transition. The fiscal and monetary authorities are ready to act in a coordinated manner to limit their spillover to the economy at large and have an impact on the ongoing recovery, ”he said.

    GDP growth

    Taking into account various factors, the projection of real GDP growth for 2021–22 has been retained at 10.5%, ranging from 26.2% in Q1; 8.3% in Q2; 5.4% in Q3; And 6.2% in Q4, Mr. Das announced.

    Inflation

    The RBI governor said that in February 2021 the headline inflation of 5.0% remained within the tolerance band, with some underlying components testing the upper tolerance level.

    Keeping various factors in mind, RBI has revised the projection of CPI inflation to 5.0% in Q4: 2020-21; 20% in Q1: 2021-22; 5.2% in Q2; 4.4% in Q3; And 5.1% in Q4, with roughly balanced exposure, he said.

    G-Sec Acquisition

    Drawing on its experience of the previous year, RBI has decided to have a secondary market G-sec acquisition program or G-SAP 1.0 for the year 2021-22, giving it a different character.

    Under this program, RBI would commit to a specific amount of open market purchases of government securities with a view to enabling steady and gradual growth of the yield curve amidst comfortable liquidity conditions.

    Mr. Das said, “The effort will be to ensure congenital financial conditions to gain traction.”

    For Q1 of 2021-22, therefore, it has been decided to announce a G-SAP worth ₹ 1 lakh crore. He said that the first purchase of government securities totaling Rs 25,000 crore under G-SAP 1.0 would be done on April 15, 2021.

    “The Reserve Bank will continue to do whatever it wants to do to maintain financial stability and to protect domestic financial markets from global spillovers and the resulting volatility,” he said.

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  • HDFC Bank’s progress, deposit growth

    Indian Bank Determined For Better Growth: M.D.

    A top bank official said that a year after the amalgamation of the then Allahabad Bank with Indian Bank, the combined entity had strengthened.

    Padmaja Chunduru, MD and CEO, Indian Bank said that its top priorities are providing customer satisfaction and improving asset quality. “Last financial year was the toughest period in my banking career … Despite the challenges, we emerged as one of the best banks in the country in terms of business, profit and customer acquisition.”

    “The bank’s results improved quarter-on-quarter and we were able to see profitability. We are poised for better growth … Right now we have the highest capitalization of 14.06% in the industry.

    Ms Chanderu said that MSME Prarana, an online business mentoring program available in digital and vernacular languages, was a big hit and urged the zonal officials of the bank to complete it quickly to provide assistance to the needy customers.

    On the IND Spring Board, an initiative to fund start-ups, she said more collaborations were in the offing.

    For the occasion of the completion of the first anniversary of the merger, Ms. Chundru rolled out the mission and vision statements of the bank, sHR Vision, Chatbot (ADYA) and IB Smart Office.

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  • TN’s capex push boltsters growth expected

    TN’s capex push boltsters growth expected

    The revised estimate is 8.7% higher than the budget; Researcher Ind-Ra says ‘amazingly positive’

    India’s ratings and research have said in a report that high-budget capital expenditure incurred in Tamil Nadu in 2020-21 is an ‘astonishing’ positive, which will boost the state’s medium to long-term growth prospects. Generally, state governments curb capital expenditure when revenue is emphasized.

    Prior to the assembly elections, the Tamil Nadu government presented a vote for FY 2012 and a full budget is expected to be presented by the newly elected government.

    The revised estimates for capital expenditure this year are 8.72% higher than the original budget estimates and 58.65% more than those done in 2019-20, Ind-Ra, a research firm owned by Fitch Group, reported. “India Ratings (Ind-Ra) believes that an increase in capex will increase the state’s productive capacity and may therefore support the medium to long-term growth prospects of the state’s economy.”

    Although Tamil Nadu (TN) is expected to record the highest fiscal deficit in this millennium, as per revised estimates for FY 2011 presented to the Legislative Assembly, Ind-Ra has insisted that about two-thirds of this slippery epidemic. And is driven by lockdown — the lack of revenue driven without a reduction in revenue expenditure. This, it said, was in line with trends at other states and national levels.

    The fiscal deficit widened to 2.6% in FY 2011 as against 2.6% of Gross Domestic Product (GSDP), as against the budget estimate of 2.7% in the previous year (3.2% in the previous year). . The significant decrease in revenue receipts compared to FY21 (BE) contributed to about 66% of the fiscal deficit reduction.

    Since 2013-14, the incessant loss-making revenue account has seen a drastic decrease of 3.4% this year as compared to 0.5% of GSDP budget (from 1.9% a year ago), noted in the Ind-Ra report is.

    The state has budgeted a revenue deficit of 1.9% of GSDP and a fiscal deficit of 3.9% of GSDP in 2021-22, but these numbers may change after the formation of the next government.

    ‘Lower for the state’

    The report also reflected a marginally lower share of the state’s divisible pool of taxes affecting revenue flow, with the state’s own tax revenue accounting for about 40% of the fiscal deficit reduction, followed by central taxes. The state share is also included: 16.63% slippery.

    “TN is one of the eight states which has a lower share in the divisible pool of central taxes as per the 15th Finance Commission (FC) award. The state’s share in central taxes decreased from 4.10% to 4.08% in the period of the 15th FC Award in the period of the 14th FC Award for 2015-16, ”it explained.

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  • Coal India likely to post marginal production growth in FY21

    Coal India likely to post marginal production growth in FY21

    Officials say the Kovid-19 disruptions reduced Minor’s demand to reduce production.

    The world’s largest miner, Coal India, is expected to make a slight contraction of its production for the year 2020-21, increasing by 5-6 million tonnes in 2020-21, as its production will fall below the 600 million mark.

    In 2019-20, the miner produced 602 million tonnes from 606.9 million tonnes in 2018-19, when it recorded its highest production.

    This will be the second year in a row when the miners register below. The miner had estimated a production target of 660 million tonnes and by mid-year the company was expecting to achieve 630–640 million tonnes of production.

    Officials attributed the Kovid-19 disruptions as the major factor behind the reduced demand that led to the construction of the stockpile, forcing the mining giant to moderate production.

    Sources said that by March 27, production is expected to be 585 million tonnes and 11 million tonnes.

    The offtake for the year is expected to be around 577 million tonnes.

    The inventory with Coal India stood at around 77.8 million tonnes by the end of February as compared to 66.8 million tonnes at the end of January 2021.

    Domestic power plants are well stocked with coal supplies. The coal stock in power plants stood at 31.9 million tonnes at the end of February, enough for the previous 17 days. This has resulted in a fall in coal prices for the third straight month. During February 2021, coal sales declined by 7 per cent year-on-year. PTI BSM JRC MM MM

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