March Madness Prop Bates: Best odds for 2021 NCAA Tournament winners, 12-5 upsets, more

The 2021 NCAA tournament is about to be discussed and prospective bookies will spend the next few days analyzing everything about brackets and finding targets and bracket-busting sleepers to rely on. Gotta try the best matchup.

It won’t just be bracket pools and competitions that most are watching. Betters will be looking for ways to capitalize on some of these big upsets, along with taking advantage of some prop bets.

As always, there are some classic March Madness prop bets available in 2012. Is a 12 seed annoying a 5 seed? Will the first four teams make it to the Sweet 16? They are two of the most popular props on an annual basis. But fans and bookies alike can try to predict the seedling of the winner, the team that can score the Final Four, and the tournament as a whole.

Take a look at some of the better tournament prop bets, including some longshots, to advance in the tournament.

Courtesy FanDuel Sportsbook And DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE MARCH MADNESS: Round 1 Odds | Parley Printable bracket

March madness prop 2021 bets

Will a 12 seed advance last a 5 seed?

The 12–5 upset is a staple of everyone’s March Madness bracket. You must choose at least one, right? The NCAA tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985, exactly five years since the 12-seed failed to win. That’s it. While one of those years is fresh in recent memory – it happened in 2018 – it is still very rare that at least one No. 12 seed does not advance. In fact, it is far more likely that many 12 seeds will advance, as they have occurred 18 times in 34 NCAA tournaments since 1985.

Yes the value here may not be great with the 370, but it is clear here, and history suggests that it should be easy money.

Will any First Four team make the Sweet 16?

The first four debuted back in 2011. In their nine-year history, four teams were knocked out of the opening round and made at least a spot in the Sweet 16. They have occurred in four different seasons, which means that 44 percent of the time, the “yes” side of the bet will hit. Of course, it is worth noting that no First Four team has even made a round of 32 in 2019 and while the First Four team has made the Sweet 16 in four different years, only 4 teams out of 36 have actually built it. That is a mark of 11.1 percent. This is the reason why there is a little extra juice here, yes.

Still, yes seems like an attractive option, especially since Tom Izzo-coach Michigan State Spartans are in the First Four and upset. We will take a chance on their base alone and hope that they can run a mini tournament if they can’t make a noise UCLA, Wichita State, or Drake.

Expert Brett’s Photos: DeCarsi (Gonzaga) | Alcoholic (Illinois) | Fagan (Gonzaga)

Odds of each seed winning the tournament

• 1 seed-159
• 2 seeds +440
• 3 seeds +900
• 4 seeds +950
• 5 seeds +1300
• 6 seeds +1300
• All other seeds +1750 or higher

DraftKings Sportsbook Lists only 1 out of 11 seeds due to their chance of winning the tournament (although betting on 10 seeds was unavailable as of this writing). Since 2000, the No. 1 seed has won the tournament 14 times, making them the clear favorites here. Price is not great, but history would suggest that the likes of Gonzaga, Michigan, Illinois, or Boiler would have a good chance of taking home.

In addition, 2 and 3 seed have won five of the other six title games as the millennium’s No. 3 seed actually has a modest advantage with a three-win mark. The only other seed to win since 2000 was the surprise Yukon Huskies that led Shabazz Napier to victory over the 8-seed Kentucky Wildcats.

It is difficult to recommend betting on any team outside the top-three seeds. Maybe you can take a chance on the No. 8 seed (+1500) if you’re a believer that Blue Bloods North Carolina can go on a title run, but usually, sticking to the top-three is probably the best move. is. Of those groups, the 2s and 3s provide the most value, but we give a slight edge over the Iowa, Ohio State, Alabama, 2 seed group Kansas, Arkansas, West Virginia, Texas group of 3 seeds. Either option is appealing, but feel free to do so in which group you like best.

Possibility of making Final 1 for every 1 and 2 seed

• Gonzaga-210
• Boiler +115
• Illinois +145
• Michigan +220
• Houston +350
• Iowa +350
• Alabama +390
• Ohio State +480

Among the No. 1 seeds, Gonzaga paved the way for the title as expected. They are ultimately the top seed in the tournament. However, there is little value with the West Coast Conference team, so it is probably best to place bets elsewhere here or if you like them enough to reach the final four then Gonzaga needs to win the entire tournament at +200. Can bet.

Michigan may be the best bet of another No. 1 seed. They have the longest hurdles, but their area Alabama has the potential to do some upset with 2 seeds, with either Ricky Pitino’s Iona Zail and 3-seed Texas facing either Michigan State, UCLA or BYU is. For that reason, Michigan seems like a decent bet, although they can be tested early in the 32 rounds against the winner of St. Bonavanture vs. LSU.

Of the No. 2 seeds, Iowa is the most attractive. They are Roberto Garza, a Wooden Award candidate, and could be the team to beat in the West Zone if Gonzaga stumbles. Alabama will only have 2 chances to survive, as they are likely to be upset with something early. They are a good team, but to take a chance on them at this level is way too dangerous.

Field Construction:
WEST | East | South | MIDWEST

NCAA Tournament Winners Best Bets: Top Seeds

• Gonzaga +200
• Michigan +800
• Iowa +1700
• Oklahoma State +3500

We don’t need to explain why Gonzaga, Michigan, and Iowa are solid bets here. If you are ready to wager them as potential final four candidates, then you should be prepared to be on them as potential winners. Three choices clustered on one side of the bracket may not be ideal, but all of them have a chance of winning.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is a good sleeper. They are in the Illinois draw and will have to get through the Fighting Illini and Houston Cougars to make noise, but they have a potential No. 1 pick in their 2021 NBA draft, Cade Cunningham, at their disposal. If he can get warm and stay, the sky is the limit for the Cowboys.

NCAA Tournament Winners Best Bets: Sleepers

• Lsu +10000
• UNC +10000
• Syracuse +15000

If you want to get a little crazy, these three teams have some upside. LSU ranks fifth in offensive ability, according to the KenPom rankings, and they almost won the SEC tournament title over Alabama. They are underlined as the seed of Rasta No. 8. If their crime heats up, watch out.

UNC is another 8 seed to consider. They are coached by Roy Williams who are 15–0 in the first round of the NCAA tournament with UNC. We have seen lower-seeded teams with good coaching in late-round tournaments, and if UNC can get from Wisconsin and the Boilers in their first two games, they have one to go into the tournament expecting a deep match Will be shot.

The last two times that Syracuse is a double-digit seed, they have gone to the Final Four and the Sweet 16. Not too shabby. Jim Boehm could knock his team out and give them a chance to go on another unexpected deep run after coming into the tournament. They can be worth a roll of the dice at that price.

And if you are wary of taking a chance in any of these teams to win the tournament, at least consider them as value options to make the Final Four or Sweet 16 (if the latter becomes available). Those props pay well, as you can see through the table below.